Jumps Season - At The Races

Trendspotting: Jockeys

    There is no getting away from the fact that a jockey, and the decisions they make, are one of the most important factors in determining the outcome of a race.
  • Trendspotting

By David Myers

RICHARD JOHNSON

2015/16: 235-1044 (23%)
2014/15: 153-861 (18%)
2013/14: 155-831 (19%)
2012/13: 133-830 (16%)
2011/12: 153-834 (18%)

Johnson’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
P Hobbs (265-1191 +£74); C Longsdon (37-157 +£9); A King (16-44 +£8)
Johnson’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Stratford (44-184, +£34); Newbury (23-124 +£82); Sandown (17-82 +£34)

Overview: Richard Johnson gained a much deserved first jockeys’ title last term, in the process booting home a colossal 235 winners, and looks set for another bumper season having partnered over 70 winners already this summer.

Johnson’s long-term record for Philip Hobbs is always one to respect, and the pair produced a profitable record of 340-1605 (+£20) during the last five seasons. Johnson also came out in profit for Charlie Longsdon (44-179 +£16), while remaining a reliable pair of hands in the top Grade 1 and Grade 2 events in which he triumphed at 42-216 (+£31). It was also interesting to note that Johnson received plenty of leading chances to ride in his quest for the title last term, and didn’t disappoint by winning on the favourite at 119-278 (+£29) throughout 2015/16.

TOM SCUDAMORE

2015/16: 85-536 (16%)
2014/15: 150-685 (22%)
2013/14: 100-629 (16%)
2012/13: 85-546 (16%)
2011/12: 65-450 (14%)

Scudamore’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
D Pipe (chase 98-446 +£35); D Bridgwater (chase 29-145 +£11); C Tizzard (12-32 +£38)
Scudamore’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Cheltenham (25-175 +£17); Market Rasen (22-103 +£27); Stratford (20-103 +£44)

Overview: While unable to record a third consecutive century last season, Tom Scudamore still partnered his joint-highest total of 85 winners and remains a jockey to look out for when teaming up with David Pipe and David Bridgwater in chases (see above stats). Scudamore was also reliable on a fancied runner at 10/11 or shorter (81-120 +£5).

SAM TWISTON-DAVIES

2015/16: 128-741 (17%)
2014/15: 145-759 (19%)
2013/14: 115-774 (15%)
2012/13: 87-615 (14%)
2011/12: 81-598 (14%)

Twiston-Davies’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
N Twiston-Davies (NHF 19-105 +£9); P Nicholls (NHF 11-33 +£16); R Newland (NHF 13-53 +£7)
Twiston-Davies’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Ffos Las (30-144 +£28); Uttoxeter (chase 11-49 +£37); Market Rasen (chase 10-30 +£12)

Overview: A career best finish of third place in the jockeys’ title last season in tandem with a third straight century speaks volumes for the progress made by Sam Twiston-Davies in recent seasons, and his skills look sure to be used once more in 2016/17. Such skills have certainly been used to good effect by various trainers in bumpers (see above), while Twiston-Davies also represented value on horses that were pulled up last time (36-234 +£42).

BRIAN HUGHES

2015/16: 103-735 (14%)
2014/15: 106-654 (16%)
2013/14: 86-617 (14%)
2012/13: 44-455 (10%)
2011/12: 53-492 (11%)

Hughes’s profitable yards: (last five years):
M Jefferson (chase 41-190 +£41); P Griffin (12-45 +£18); M Sowersby (10-75 +£23)
Hughes’s profitable tracks (last five years):
Sedgefield (52-257 +£29); Hexham (chase 16-65 +£16); Perth (chase 13-69 +£24)

Overview: Brian Hughes hit a second century last season, in which he retained his profitable record for Malcolm Jefferson (see Trainers section). Hughes also achieved a higher strike-rate in chases (16%) compared to hurdles (10%), while not on the money when getting down to 10st for a ride – he partnered an 8/1 winner in June from that weight, before finishing runner-up at 50/1 in July.

NOEL FEHILY

2015/16: 122-663 (18%)
2014/15: 85-477 (18%)
2013/14: 127-596 (21%)
2012/13: 64-389 (16%)
2011/12: 49-351 (14%)

Fehily’s profitable yards: (last five years):
H Fry (86-360 +£3); N Mulholland (hurdle 32-150 +£10); P Nicholls (16-57 +£13)
Fehily’s profitable tracks (last five years):
Southwell (20-67 +£21); Warwick (18-86 +£27); Wetherby (18-52 +£16)

Overview: Somewhat of a late bloomer having started out back in 1998/99, but now one of the elite jockeys in the weighing room having bagged two centuries during the last three seasons. His relationship with Neil Mulholland continues in profit, while his record when teaming up with the classier horses under weights of 11st8lb to 11st12lb is worth noting (122-604 +45).

AIDAN COLEMAN

2015/16: 129-741 (17%)
2014/15: 82-653 (13%)
2013/14: 97-647 (15%)
2012/13: 89-575 (15%)
2011/12: 58-381 (15%)

Coleman’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
J O’Neill (23-105 +£23); D Evans (11-58 +£41)
Coleman’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Stratford (33-132 +£50); Newton Abbot (19-90 +£56); Ascot (15-91 +£27)

Overview: Aidan Coleman is another jockey who fits into the “improving” category, having returned winning tallies of 89, 97 and 82, before going beyond 100 for the firsttime last season. The fact Coleman is around the 50-mark already for a nice profit this season suggests he looks set for a very good season and should be noted in maidens or beginners chases where he delivered at 70-302 (+£82). Coleman was also a friend to punters on runners at 9/4 or shorter (239-545 +£8).

HARRY SKELTON

2015/16: 101-452 (22%)
2014/15: 55-292 (19%)
2013/14: 26-198 (13%)
2012/13: 8-146 (5%)
2011/12: 20-207 (10%)

Skelton’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
C Bailey (13-42 +£57)
Skelton’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Southwell (22-86 +£28); Fontwell (11-39 +£5); Uttoxeter (10-50 +£2)

Overview: One of the newest member of the “100 Club” following a career best tally of 101 winners last term, and he should be followed once more, especially when teaming up with Caroline Bailey. Skelton also showed a higher strike-rate in maidens (28-144 +£11).

PADDY BRENNAN

2015/16: 75-463 (16%)
2014/15: 67-442 (15%)
2013/14: 77-527 (15%)
2012/13: 63-457 (14%)
2011/12: 82-477 (17%)

Brennan’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
T George (chase 90-455 +£13); F O’Brien (78-478 +£38); C Tizzard (14-61 +£5)
Brennan’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Southwell (23-101 +£22); Stratford (17-85 +£25); Exeter (12-66 +£37)

Overview: A steady 2015/16 for Paddy Brennan where he was again among the winners for Fergal O’Brien, while one to look out for when around the 10st5lb to 10st11lb mark (66-401 +£96) – on runners with 11st2lb or more, his record was 191-1200 (-£223).

RUBY WALSH (Ire only)

2015/16: 105-350 (30%)
2014/15: 79-253 (31%)
2013/14: 122-403 (30%)
2012/13: 101-340 (30%)
2011/12: 85-358 (24%)

Walsh’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
T Walsh (13-46 +£20)
Walsh’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Punchestown (chase 27-80 +£14); Clonmel (23-60 +£23); Galway (hurdle 20-52 +£30)

Overview: Another jockeys’ title solidified Ruby Walsh’s position as the best jumps jockey around in Ireland, though his popularity makes it hard for punters to show out a profit. With the majority of Walsh’s rides coming for Willie Mullins, a couple of guidelines are required to help point the way – for instance, the Mullins/Walsh partnership struck at 161-331 (+£13) with last time out winners, while those to have had just 1-2 runs for the yard came in at 74-156 (+£13).

BARRY GERAGHTY (GB only)

Geraghty’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
Mrs J Harrington (20-70 +£14); G Elliott (18-68 +£6); N Henderson (NHF 16-49 +£3)
Geraghty’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Ascot (28-101 +£4); Sandown (hurdle 13-48 +£8); Aintree (12-59 +£30)

Overview: Barry Geraghty is expected to be back in the saddle in October having broken his elbow earlier in the year, and should prove a reliable force once more, where his record in Grade 1 races in both Britain and Ireland stands at 54-253 (+£40).

PAUL TOWNEND (Ire only)

2015/16: 37-246 (15%)
2014/15: 71-330 (22%)
2013/14: 55-381 (14%)
2012/13: 71-411 (17%)
2011/12: 46-308 (15%)

Townend’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
W Mullins (130-456 +£29); T Martin (15-58 +£16); G James Power (10-29 +£45)
Townend’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Fairyhouse (hurdle 23-97 +£20); Ballinrobe (16-67 +£19); Galway (hurdle 12-60 +£10)

Overview: A disappointing season for Paul Townend last time around via only 37 winners, though he is already on course to surpass that having ridden over 20 winners throughout the summer. Townend also showed a profit for Willie Mullins, but was seen at his best when partnering a novice chaser or hurdler (64-254 +£80).

MARK WALSH (Ire only)

2015/16: 56-414 (14%)
2014/15: 75-396 (19%)
2013/14: 39-410 (10%)
2012/13: 32-357 (9%)
2011/12: 31-325 (10%)

Walsh’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
E Bolger (12-45 +£17)
Walsh’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Kilbeggan (18-88 +£38)

Overview: Things are looking bright for Mark Walsh following his last two seasons in which he was runner-up and then fourth in the jockeys’ title, and while a reliable hand when partnering a clear favourite at 109-250 (+£40), Walsh was also the man to book off a low weight, courtesy of a 16-107 (+£25) record when riding at 10st-10st6lb.

JACK KENNEDY (Ire only)

2016/17: 41-248 (17%)
2015/16: 44-299 (15%)

Kennedy’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
G Elliott (chase 15-64 +£1)
Kennedy’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Down Royal (10-28 +£16); Navan (8-22 +£19)

Overview: Jack Kennedy made an immediate impact in his first season by riding 44 winners, and has already amassed over 40 this summer – in other words, keep a close eye on him, especially on Gordon Elliott’s runners.

BRYAN COOPER (Ire only)

2015/16: 94-437 (22%)
2014/15: 49-263 (19%)
2013/14: 48-344 (14%)
2012/13: 61-489 (12%)
2011/12: 36-428 (8%)

Cooper’s profitable yards: (last five seasons):
W Mullins (46-119 +£18); G Elliott (chase 36-113 +£28)
Cooper’s profitable tracks (last five seasons):
Clonmel (21-74 +£13); Leopardstown (chase +£11-47 +£14); Punchestown (chase 17-81 +£7)

Overview: A career best of 94 winners took Bryan Cooper into second place in the title race last term, suggesting he could be set for a first century, especially with both Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott continuing to provide good opportunities.

Improving Talent

A breakthrough season for David Noonan in 2015/16, having ridden just two winners in 2014/15, before ending last term with figures of 41-253 – he has already partnered 14 winners this season. Noonan has a profitable record riding for Anthony Honeyball (18-83 +£22), while also doing well at Taunton (8-31 +£10).

Harry Cobden also has a profitable record for Honeyball (7-1 +£9) and rode only a couple of winners prior to finishing last season with 30-138 (+£5) – Cobden currently has over 10 winners this summer (11-70 +£17).

Over in Ireland, David Mullins partnered 24 winners two seasons ago before rattling up 39-331 last term and has a profitable record for Liam Cusack (+£34).

Free £25 bet with William Hill

View offer
×